Polymarket Trader

0xaba2...003d

0xaba298e1d2b35a3a62c05159a3dfd6ddbefd003d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $137.72
Realized PnL: $368.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.77
Potential profit: $835.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $340.35
Potential profit: $329.29
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $105.72
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $16.21
Potential payout: $104.94
Potential profit: $88.73
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $17.29
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $77.95
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.59
Potential profit: $73.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $14.92
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $58.07
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $18.57
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $38.57
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.45
Potential profit: $50.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.57
Potential profit: $47.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $8.03
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $11.39
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.97

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.95

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Burnley FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

Over position

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Yes position

Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Fulham FC?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 28.17 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46.1% 279.8 shares
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 37% 54.05 shares
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26.8% 86.95 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 93% 28.57 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 70% 28.57 shares
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?

Yes 9.5% 10.53 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares