Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $119.01
- Potential payout
- $349
- Potential profit
- $229.99
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- -$45.02
Polymarket Trader
DearMaria
0xabaacf1ddc4c914706cc38b17e96a835a09da174
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.01
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $482.33
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $250.72
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $186.99
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $172.1
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $50.43
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $43.74
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $36.14
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.53
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.94
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.95
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.19
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.71
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.27
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.46
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$19.7
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes 7.2% 266 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes 25% 94 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 10.1% 437 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 91% 176 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?No 89.8% 4.1 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.8% 5 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No 73% 0.94 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 8% 6 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81% 8.97 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes 28% 9 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 60% 9 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes 24.1% 79 shares