Polymarket Trader

mamai

0xabbeb2bdd30ba5c51cb14168b068103961648f37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.5K
Realized PnL: $18.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99K
Potential profit: $11.99K
User PnL: -$6.43K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.55K
Potential profit: $7.55K
User PnL: -$1.46K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41K
Potential profit: $5.41K
User PnL: -$3.75K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.78K
User PnL: -$2.68K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $5.54
User PnL: $11.04

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $494.73
Potential payout: $706.76
Potential profit: $212.03
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$15.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.85
Potential profit: $177.85
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $999.3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.58

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.96

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.89

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.07

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.23

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.7

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.87

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.76

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.08

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.78

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.17

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.26

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?

Yes 98.4% 1,006.58 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 72.2% 706.76 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 27.6% 721.29 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 69.7% 1,914.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 6.5% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 38% 114.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 43.5% 459.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 48.8% 204.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 56.8% 176.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 75.2% 2,778.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 69.1% 2,098.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET

Down 79.5% 578.1 shares