waihin

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.56
Potential profit: $276.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $228.34
Potential payout: $273.62
Potential profit: $45.28
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $48.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $37.46
Potential payout: $195.62
Potential profit: $158.16
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$12.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.65
Potential profit: $159.65
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.05
Potential profit: $145.05
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.23
Potential profit: $139.23
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.1%
Current value: $53.81
Potential payout: $134.19
Potential profit: $80.38
Multiplier: 2.49x
User PnL: $3.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.91
Potential profit: $125.91
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.99
Potential profit: $122.99
User PnL: -$8.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.97
Potential profit: $116.97
User PnL: -$23.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.83
Potential profit: $92.83
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.43
Potential profit: $91.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $32.87
Potential payout: $83.97
Potential profit: $51.09
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $2.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.64
Potential profit: $83.64
User PnL: -$18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.34
Potential profit: $83.34
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.61
Potential profit: $81.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.85
Potential profit: $77.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.33
Potential profit: $71.33
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.12
Potential profit: $71.12
User PnL: -$11.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94

Yes position

Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET