Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $34.77K
- Potential payout
- $79.93K
- Potential profit
- $45.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$43.56
Polymarket Trader
BearKingdom
0xabe78c9711802ea03af9b0fcb7f3f82853fad623
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.77K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.76K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $56.96K
- Potential profit
- $51.8K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$423.95
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $26.85K
- Potential payout
- $47.95K
- Potential profit
- $21.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $7.16K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $38.07K
- Potential payout
- $47.3K
- Potential profit
- $9.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $9.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 39.7% 4,282.53 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 43% 1,535 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 42% 2,352.48 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 45% 839.94 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 4,000 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 47% 1,924.6 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 40.8% 4,517.93 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 42% 1,580.65 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 41% 868.38 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 44% 10,512.35 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 42.2% 6,876.65 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 40.1% 357.79 shares