Polymarket Trader

0xabf7...ea52

0xabf7b67b263f594c6a314e04cacefaea3c3bea52

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $13.87
Realized PnL: $40.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.33
Potential profit: $18.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $13.98
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 98.7% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99% 11.91 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 84% 11.91 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 23% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Yes 99.9% 1.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 76% 9.77 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Yes 83% 9.13 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Yes 61% 9.13 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

No 2.5% 10 shares