Polymarket Trader

rahulnicol

0xac21afe349daea7ac18082ee610cd805a1984d57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $414.31
Realized PnL: $933.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $319.55
Potential payout: $789
Potential profit: $469.46
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $43.4

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $55.76
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.3%
Current value: $39.01
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $18.99
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$11.05

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.75
Potential profit: $45.75
User PnL: -$37.52

No position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.76
Potential profit: $44.76
User PnL: -$36.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $99.43

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.1%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $12.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

76ers position

Bucks vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Lakers position

Knicks vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 85.7% 820 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 93% 32 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Yes 79% 59 shares
Suns vs. Thunder

Thunder 93% 12.95 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 35% 789 shares
Bucks vs. 76ers

76ers 92% 90.56 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 84.2% 820 shares
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 8.7% 90 shares
Warriors vs. Kings

Warriors 82% 45.5 shares
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

No 82% 44.51 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 9.4% 1,484 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.1% 47 shares