Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $10.43
Polymarket Trader
BMW316
0xac224c489833f0e86230a45fc231d7a89b09363e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.81
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.1%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.87
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9?No 91.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 41.5% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?No 44.5% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?Yes 7% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 9?No 85% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?Yes 21.4% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?Yes 17.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?Yes 57.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?Yes 62% 20 shares