Polymarket Trader

Bigshort69

0xac2553efd3996cba709ea933221c51feeede147a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.75K
Realized PnL: $7.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $90.15
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $6.13K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$111.18

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $442.13
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$232.16

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $684.84
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: $286.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $731.73

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$85.65

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $24.29
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$125.71

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $147.54
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$97.06

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $46.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$16.25

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $70.53
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$107.46

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $63
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$56.29

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $738.31
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $998.89
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $337.31

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $287
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$169.4

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $181.5
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Current value: $509.16
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $594.11
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $195.06

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $933.5
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $968.5
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $877.5
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$77.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $628.61

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.58

Yes position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.12

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.77

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $310.89

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Over position

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.28

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.47

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.66

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.14

Over position

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.52

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.9

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $182.15

Over position

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.01

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.7

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.75

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.25

Yes position

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.48

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

Over 84% 595.24 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5

Over 70% 714.29 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 47% 158.73 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 63% 158.73 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 31% 434.78 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 46% 434.78 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 53% 47.17 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 46% 54.35 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 95% 158.73 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Côte dIvoire 7% 104.16 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Côte dIvoire 48% 104.17 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 59% 80.99 shares