Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.83
- Potential payout
- $5.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
birdwatching
0xac2a8ecc1cc8cc08cf1793fa057afcf12fd8c6a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.13
- Realized PnL
- $2.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Lakers position
Pacers vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Pacers vs. LakersLakers 78.9% 1.27 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.3% 5.83 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 92% 5.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 88% 1.36 shares
- Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes 94% 1.38 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 83% 2.41 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 95.3% 1.57 shares
- Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes 91% 1.32 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 77% 1.95 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes 63.3% 1.74 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 3.98 shares