Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $13.44
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$79.54
Polymarket Trader
0xAC3874733D8a0F67Cf159BDa2dbd687F919aEFFf-1768421036327
0xac3874733d8a0f67cf159bda2dbd687f919aefff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.02
- Realized PnL
- $2.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $137.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $862.49
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $28.03
- Potential payout
- $983.48
- Potential profit
- $955.45
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$177.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$47.95
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $577.23
- Potential profit
- $576.65
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.75
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.6
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $397.36
- Potential profit
- $392.59
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $313.26
- Potential profit
- $312.32
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $290
- User PnL
- -$57.2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.01
- Potential profit
- $260.01
- User PnL
- -$21.34
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $199.71
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.98
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 19.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 250 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 11.8% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 10.2% 10 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 8.5% 4.43 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 300 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 16% 200 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 130 shares