No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $22.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.38
Polymarket Trader
0xac3a...3cdb
0xac3a9e1ad344faf28aa15a09b15cb03aa22a3cdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $93.52
- Realized PnL
- $15.15
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $10.57
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $6.74
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.1% 6 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.8% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 11 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 87.9% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 56.4% 10 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.2% 7 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 28% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.5% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.6% 6 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 78% 5 shares