Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- User PnL
- -$83.31
Polymarket Trader
graydon.
0xac408794a22e6b6e31d98b5a0cfc2b6f412d03fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.02
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$396.77
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $191.02
- Potential payout
- $812.85
- Potential profit
- $621.83
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$85.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$168.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$383.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 534.7 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 2% 1,646 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 254 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 562 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 797 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 474 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 8.3% 999.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 812.85 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.7% 276.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.6% 107.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.5% 15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 11.5% 55 shares