Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $656.25
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $56.25
Polymarket Trader
iiii999
0xac460e70c11e494a4983b16738933133c5dfdd54
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $656.25
- Realized PnL
- -$749.31
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Japan position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$291.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.86
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$26.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$241.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$361.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$561.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$768.92
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.65K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 3,750 shares
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan 27% 1,078.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 10,346.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 15% 4,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 2,549.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 12,973.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47.3% 3,131.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 13,502.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14.9% 147.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14.2% 4,912.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 12.1% 3,139.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 12.6% 7,941.12 shares