Polymarket Trader

HerrieDavis

0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.51K
Realized PnL: $212.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$292.67

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75.6%
Current value: $11.67K
Potential payout: $15.43K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85K
Potential profit: $14.85K
User PnL: -$265.81

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.81K
Potential profit: $14.81K
User PnL: -$880.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $225.37
Potential payout: $14.54K
Potential profit: $14.31K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $113.99

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $14.44K
Potential profit: $13.12K
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $123.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.43K
Potential profit: $14.43K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.32K
Potential profit: $13.32K
User PnL: -$1.12K

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.19K
Potential profit: $13.19K
User PnL: -$1.81K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $501.89
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $11.59K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $207.84

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.82K
Potential profit: $11.82K
User PnL: -$436.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $10.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$540.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$2.16K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.8K
Potential profit: $10.8K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $786.45
Potential payout: $10.49K
Potential profit: $9.7K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$365.74

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.39K
Potential profit: $10.39K
User PnL: -$24.62

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $10.2K
User PnL: -$1.43K

No position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $10.09K
User PnL: -$258.53

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9K
Potential profit: $9.9K
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9K
Potential profit: $9.9K
User PnL: -$55.05

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9K
Potential profit: $9.9K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.74K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $794.15
Potential payout: $9.63K
Potential profit: $8.83K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $190.16

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $8.42K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.06K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $39.4K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $15.36K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $14.99K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $13.47K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $11.2K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.85K

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $8.28K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $7.36K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.05K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $6.45K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $5.98K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $5.77K

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.64K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.47K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.28K

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.47K

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $4.36K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 12.64 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 10.15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 8% 465.59 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 13.5% 197.13 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 98.1% 45 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 17% 500 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82.1% 4.81 shares
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

No 89% 20.32 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 80% 16.59 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 13.6% 58.42 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 195.35 shares