Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
badbias
0xac4f7c9518eeeb74d863a0fa5146c193779cf7e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04K
- Realized PnL
- $15.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $164
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$240.49
Yes position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $34.32
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$208.79
Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $954.59
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $585.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$792.16
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $372.6
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $662.4
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $82.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $885
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$82.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $795
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $205
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $535
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.93
- Potential profit
- $961.93
- User PnL
- -$616.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $865.32
- Potential profit
- $865.32
- User PnL
- -$546.59
Yes position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $141.41
- Potential payout
- $857
- Potential profit
- $715.6
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$39.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $846.27
- Potential profit
- $846.27
- User PnL
- -$534.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740
- Potential profit
- $740
- User PnL
- -$449.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $706.49
- Potential profit
- $706.49
- User PnL
- -$457.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682.27
- Potential profit
- $682.27
- User PnL
- -$462.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $643.27
- Potential profit
- $643.27
- User PnL
- -$400.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.53
- Potential profit
- $637.53
- User PnL
- -$422.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $635.05
- Potential profit
- $635.05
- User PnL
- -$401.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $628.3
- Potential profit
- $628.3
- User PnL
- -$399.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $619.31
- Potential profit
- $619.31
- User PnL
- -$401.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $617.95
- Potential profit
- $617.95
- User PnL
- -$418.18
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $173.47
- Potential payout
- $608.88
- Potential profit
- $435.41
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $118.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $569.98
- Potential profit
- $569.98
- User PnL
- -$358.97
Yes position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $292.52
- Potential payout
- $568
- Potential profit
- $275.48
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $91.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.79
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $669.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?Yes 28% 1,095 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes 9% 608.88 shares
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Yes 17.6% 2,098.01 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 31.7% 560.53 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 36.9% 5,117.2 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 19% 6,701.98 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 21.9% 5,101.31 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?Yes 9.6% 2,542 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?Yes 9.7% 2,100 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?Yes 21.1% 857 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?Yes 35.4% 568 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes 18% 150 shares