bdc12

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $196.1
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$30.65

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $117
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $123

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $5.11
User PnL: $25.32

Yes position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $696.11
Potential payout: $700.32
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $15.69

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $472.12
Potential payout: $558.06
Potential profit: $85.94
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$31.42

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $445.52
Potential payout: $530.38
Potential profit: $84.86
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $360.72
Potential payout: $365.29
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $255.22
Potential payout: $321.03
Potential profit: $65.81
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $318.8
Potential payout: $320.4
Potential profit: $1.6
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $255.19
Potential payout: $256.6
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $204.99
Potential payout: $209.07
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $167
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $141.52
Potential payout: $197.93
Potential profit: $56.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $132.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $25.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $74.25
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $84.73
Potential payout: $86.06
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $48.79
Multiplier: 8.85x
User PnL: -$22.39

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.06

Yes position

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.26

Yes position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.73

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $45.82

Yes position

Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.41

Yes position

Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

Yes position

Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Yes position

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

No position

Will Adele perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.09

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.04

Yes position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.97

Yes position

Will "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.12

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.41

Yes position

Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

No position

Will U2 perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.97

Yes position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?