Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.25K
- Potential profit
- $14.25K
- User PnL
- -$378.6
Polymarket Trader
boatswain-m
0xac5cfb5d76db524c070b2ab1412ca684cd1e7b5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.66
- Realized PnL
- $5.21K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.97K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $333.72
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$826.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$596.09
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$284.8
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $716.25
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$168.75
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $521.39
- Potential profit
- $521.39
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.98
- Potential profit
- $254.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $567.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.78
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.17
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.77
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.55
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.32
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.98
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.93
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112.45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$289.62
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$338.52
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$347.11
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$403.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 4% 5,714.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 5% 944.44 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 0.9% 1,113.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 5,714.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39% 512.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 17% 294.12 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 20% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 21% 5,000 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 5.3% 88.39 shares