verywise

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.5
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.13
Potential profit: $191.13
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.13
Potential profit: $191.13
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.13
Potential profit: $191.13
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.13
Potential profit: $191.13
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $173.57
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.05
Potential profit: $96.05
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.05
Potential profit: $96.05
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95.05
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95.05
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $95.05
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.05
Potential profit: $95.05
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $12.39
Potential payout: $81.24
Potential profit: $68.85
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $75.05
Potential profit: $59.66
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.96
Potential payout: $70.05
Potential profit: $57.09
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $58.73
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $55.05
Potential profit: $44.59
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $8.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.9%
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?