Polymarket Trader

Thewacher

0xac615f04ca2fa635ca22991432a0f8fcfd4b4f1b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $9.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.87K
Potential profit: $41.87K
User PnL: -$246.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.17K
Potential profit: $23.17K
User PnL: -$325.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.53K
Potential profit: $12.53K
User PnL: -$153.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.17K
Potential profit: $12.17K
User PnL: -$590

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$24.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $9.33K
User PnL: -$21.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$199.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.69K
User PnL: -$180

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.59K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$488.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
User PnL: -$102.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$99.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$149.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$209.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$101.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$147.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $978.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $307.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $263.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 55% 78.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 51% 78.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Down 39% 102.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 91.6% 60.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 66% 60.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 79% 64.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 62% 64.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 70% 74.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 54% 74.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 61% 65.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 86% 57.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 70% 57.14 shares