Polymarket Trader

xanxus1

0xac681984b55e80e2c7bd30ad8931009fe009f1fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.5K
Realized PnL: $5.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.2

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $483.77
Potential payout: $649.35
Potential profit: $165.58
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$16.23

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $594.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $5.7
User PnL: $42.3

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $567
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.37
Potential profit: $568.37
User PnL: -$375.11

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $498.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $490.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $385.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $292.71
Potential payout: $398.24
Potential profit: $105.53
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$48.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.63
Potential profit: $312.63
User PnL: -$251.64

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$189

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.57
Potential profit: $228.57
User PnL: -$16

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$132

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$192

Lynn Vision position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$116

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$144

BC.Game Esports position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$34

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.99
Potential profit: $179.99
User PnL: -$61.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.78

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.65

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.07

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.99

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.43

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.58

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.54

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.95

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.78

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.29

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

No position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.6

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.96

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $98.12

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5

Over 0.1% 100 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

No 96.6% 200 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Over 58% 40 shares
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 4.5

Over 5% 100 shares
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Over 14% 50 shares
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Over 30% 50 shares
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Over 59% 60 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Over 35% 60 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 60 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5

Over 15% 16 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5

Over 29% 100 shares