Polymarket Trader

Menaga

0xac6c71c4cde7bffaa09cdcb51c41192ee449a727

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $393.17
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $365.75
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $24.75

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $440.34
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $84.91

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $55.28
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$147.81

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $485.71
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $11.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.9
Potential profit: $999.9
User PnL: -$20

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429.29
Potential profit: $429.29
User PnL: -$180.3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.39
Potential profit: $371.39
User PnL: -$285.97

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.74
Potential profit: $333.74
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292.29
Potential profit: $292.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.74
Potential profit: $271.74
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.47
Potential profit: $150.47
User PnL: -$98.73

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.92
Potential profit: $97.92
User PnL: -$36.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.1
Potential profit: $96.1
User PnL: -$36.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.63
Potential profit: $95.63
User PnL: -$29.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.6
Potential profit: $74.6
User PnL: -$29.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.14
Potential profit: $43.14
User PnL: -$9.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.03
Potential profit: $42.03
User PnL: -$31.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.08

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.77

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$172.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Up 45% 101.08 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8.4% 4,063.9 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 25.9% 1,832.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 65.6% 148.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 38% 94.74 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 25.1% 147.49 shares
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Yes 68% 67.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 31% 94.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Down 99.1% 37.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Down 52% 37.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Up 70% 57.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 99.1% 41.77 shares