No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $64.78
- Potential payout
- $71.98
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $14.4
Polymarket Trader
rallaghan
0xac708949a08499df64035f1bcf37de243d34dfb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $251.2
- Realized PnL
- $216.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $64.04
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Current value
- $28.25
- Potential payout
- $46.85
- Potential profit
- $18.6
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
No position
Revolut IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $37.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $19.73
- Potential payout
- $20.09
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Yes position
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Kamala say "coconut" before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Trump fires campaign manager in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Kamala say "Brat" in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 70% 46.85 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 1.1% 40 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 82% 30.55 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 96.2% 10.4 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 61% 50 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No 89.7% 27 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 9.2% 54.35 shares
- Anthropic acquired before 2027?No 73% 0.68 shares
- Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes 69% 29.17 shares
- Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes 90.2% 20 shares
- Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?Yes 66% 25.99 shares