asdf1asdf111

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 27.6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 3.63x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.1

Oscar Weightman position

ITF Bakio: Paul Inchauspe vs Oscar Weightman

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.23
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.12

Fake do Biru position

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Evil Geniuses Academy position

Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET