No position
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
thelazyman
0xac82bcbb60388eb6d12c5e4aa48339bf41930ac0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $114.78
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.75
- Potential profit
- $149.75
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.9
- Potential profit
- $75.9
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.67
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.83
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 99.7% 46.97 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 43% 23.26 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 42.2% 23.72 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes 12% 149.75 shares
- TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No 47% 21.28 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Yes 13.2% 75.9 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?Yes 33.3% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No 34% 58.82 shares
- Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?No 8.8% 1,136.89 shares