Polymarket Trader

0xac93...dd86

0xac93558d61512c63dff8cdd27a8c47971a33dd86

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $78.79
Realized PnL: -$32.95
Win rate: 15.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $616.56
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.12
Potential profit: $446.12
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.16
Potential profit: $268.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Waymo IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $145.58
Potential profit: $139.17
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Canva IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $98.54
Potential profit: $97.06
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $79.37
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Revolut IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.11
Potential profit: $66.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $46.35
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $35.42
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $36.35
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $36.1
Potential profit: $27.92
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $25.75
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $26.78
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $21.53
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Epic Games IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $20.82
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$2.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Brex IPO before 2027?

Yes 0.8% 625 shares
Canva IPO before 2027?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Waymo IPO before 2027?

Yes 6.9% 72.46 shares
Revolut IPO before 2027?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Yes 10% 50 shares
SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Yes 13.9% 36.1 shares
Stripe IPO before 2027?

Yes 12% 22.61 shares
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares