Tpezaske

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $10.25K
User PnL: -$145.31

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $274.21
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$375.79

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $210.74
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$348.23

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $249.48
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$350.52

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $101.48
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$698.52

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $131.07
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$768.93

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$526.27

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$125.99

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $216.26
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$190.92

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $105.71
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$94.29

Yes position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $77.18
Potential payout: $964.74
Potential profit: $887.56
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$22.62

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $67.52
Potential payout: $952.3
Potential profit: $884.78
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$182.45

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $831.67
Potential profit: $831.67
User PnL: -$49.9

Yes position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $695.8
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$55.8

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $413.26
Potential payout: $655.96
Potential profit: $242.71
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $121.72

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $58.59
Potential payout: $468.75
Potential profit: $410.16
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$91.41

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466.67
Potential profit: $466.67
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $298.75
Potential payout: $463.17
Potential profit: $164.43
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $112.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.87
Potential profit: $441.87
User PnL: -$23.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.22
Potential profit: $398.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.28
Potential profit: $280.28
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $26.79
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $151.79
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$23.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.46
Potential profit: $147.46
User PnL: -$35.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $396.99

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.98

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.65

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.79

No position

X Money released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.99

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.37

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$3.52

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.04

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$66.37

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$73.32

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$306.04

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$395.62

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?