Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
waltermontes5
0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.76
- Realized PnL
- $7.88
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $165.09
- Potential profit
- $164.68
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.52
- Potential profit
- $116.52
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $75.35
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.81
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.75
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.7
- Potential profit
- $43.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $25.9
- Potential profit
- $25.18
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $18.02
- Potential profit
- $15.76
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.96
- Potential profit
- $12.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $8.66
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$10.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 35% 11 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 50% 2 shares
- Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E1 S3?No 50% 2 shares
- Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 25% 5 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 31.3% 10 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 36% 10 shares
- Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 298.41 shares
- Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in June?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?Yes 0.6% 165.09 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.3% 43.7 shares