Polymarket Trader

AltanaKay

0xacd468196b50248509834a7bca8e3044cb3ea98c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.72K
Realized PnL: $108.06
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $13.64K
Potential profit: $13.41K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $818.11
Potential payout: $12.3K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$247.87

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$192.19

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $338.12
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$199.88

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $68.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $404.3

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $896.77
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $196.85
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $46.77

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$210

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $775
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$260

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $311.36
Potential payout: $902.77
Potential profit: $591.4
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$7.63

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$160

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $419.89
Potential payout: $502.86
Potential profit: $82.97
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $119.89

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.84
Potential profit: $407.84
User PnL: -$208

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.16
Potential profit: $327.16
User PnL: -$265

Resolved Context

Closed positions

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.85

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $239.12

Yes position

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$30.6

Yes position

Claude 4.7 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$88.31

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99

Moicano position

Makhachev vs. Moicano

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$248

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 407.84 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 6% 833.33 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 24% 666.67 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 81% 327.16 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 13,636.36 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 4,819.28 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 55% 948.89 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

70k 66% 984.85 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 26.3% 2,049.19 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 9.6% 3,116.66 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 8.4% 11,865.33 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 7.7% 2,492.6 shares