Polymarket Trader

0x64710Eac4D6297AaCbB48e863e83C0a5017bA762-1783339884232

0xace0a40e94a4d58d6c9381c316e40f38e4bd9c90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.41
Realized PnL: $7.23
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $106.72
Potential profit: $98.83
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.95
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.5
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $97.45
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $96.44
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $89.56
Potential profit: $81.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $84.36
Potential profit: $82.25
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $64.6
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $57.42
Potential profit: $54.46
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $54.09
Potential profit: $51.93
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.4
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.28
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.03
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.73
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $45.99
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $49.54
Potential profit: $47.93
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $48.1
Potential profit: $43.39
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $41.68
Potential profit: $39.81
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $30.11
Potential profit: $29.33
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $26.54
Potential profit: $24.02
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Yes 40% 2.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares