Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.96
- Potential profit
- $419.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Cnicholasdownie
0xace27a07fa92717fc3f08a75c52609531068344a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.6
- Realized PnL
- -$102.24
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $177.91
- Potential profit
- $172.31
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.63
- Potential profit
- $91.63
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.29
- Potential profit
- $31.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Profitable" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.7% 131.46 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 10.8% 46.45 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 54% 11.11 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 419.96 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.5% 57.14 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes 16% 31.29 shares