No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
tallboy
0xace9e4adebf50f36fbc884f23ec25284128d79d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.56
- Realized PnL
- $13.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $8.79
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.37
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $3.04
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will $cult launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Fed abolished in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Jiankui He launch a memecoin before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 21?No 97.7% 7.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 21?No 95% 7.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 21?No 99% 11.11 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.8% 26.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 21?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 92% 8.7 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 91% 8.79 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?No 99.3% 4.11 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No 99.5% 3.5 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93.8% 27.97 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.8% 8,493 shares
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No 99.1% 3,000 shares