Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Polymarket Trader
0xaced...7e29
0xacedbf22c1dbb2ac15d697f4a0a1787607587e29
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $21.2
- Realized PnL
- -$7.66
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $266.99
- Potential profit
- $266.19
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $221
- Potential profit
- $217.69
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $220.26
- Potential profit
- $220.04
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $202.76
- Potential profit
- $202.36
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $146.17
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $140.65
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $129.57
- Potential profit
- $129.38
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $98.98
- Potential profit
- $96.9
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $93
- Potential profit
- $92.3
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $35.26
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $26.14
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $23.2
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $17.89
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 6.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $6.97
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released before August 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.88
No position
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,118.11 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 25, 2026?Yes 8% 25 shares