Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $37.72
- Potential payout
- $279.41
- Potential profit
- $241.69
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$56.94
Polymarket Trader
Yolandach
0xacef3dabf60e987bbb2ff4e63c061cd95dec6ac0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.01
- Realized PnL
- $324.82
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $49.21
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $41.06
- Potential profit
- $37.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $31.31
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$8.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.52
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.91
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.89
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.62
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 6.1% 55.55 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 78.5% 32.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 8.48 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 36% 55.56 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 32.47 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 72% 15 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 40% 37.5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 60 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 21% 30 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 30 shares