Polymarket Trader

bakanabaka

0xacfe5bbc96fb4976ecc4693997c063c332bfc247

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.57
Realized PnL: $3.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $18.91
Potential payout: $43.47
Potential profit: $24.56
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $23.25
Potential profit: $16.04
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will "Television" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will "Woman" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $14.7
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will "Water" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $12.98
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $3.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $11.51
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $11.51
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will "Music" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $11.51
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will "Power" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $11.51
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.08

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.34

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.31

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.48

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.87

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.63

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.48

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "China" or "Chinese" be in the headlines this week?

Yes 79% 12.5 shares
Will "SpaceX" be in the headlines this week?

Yes 79% 12.5 shares
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Yes 82.2% 11.25 shares
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Yes 82.6% 11.51 shares
Will "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Yes 82.6% 11.51 shares
Will "Music" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Yes 82.6% 11.51 shares
Will "Power" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?

Yes 82.6% 11.51 shares
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Yes 81% 5.26 shares
Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will "SpaceX" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

No 49% 13.69 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 78% 6.31 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Down 23% 5 shares