Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Polymarket Trader
Luca2173
0xad016e4470f20e1b50560dff332c1dd202d8e2f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $765.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 42°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?No 99% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 26?No 99.5% 9.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 26?No 99.8% 9.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 42°C on June 26?No 99.8% 9.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 26?No 99.6% 9.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C or below on June 26?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on June 26?No 99.9% 9.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 26?No 99.3% 9.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C on June 23?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?No 99.8% 9.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 24?No 99.9% 9.81 shares