No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $801.48
- Potential profit
- $801.48
- User PnL
- -$257.47
Polymarket Trader
goldenpath545
0xad1bdc76a803047b5828a7a1fe98b523ba8d1d65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32K
- Realized PnL
- $51.4
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $375.65
- Potential payout
- $416
- Potential profit
- $40.35
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $22.29
N
No position
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $241.8
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $68.2
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$34.28
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $238.55
- Potential payout
- $292.74
- Potential profit
- $54.19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $25.96
No position
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $146.05
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $83.95
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
N
No position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $163.73
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.33
N
No position
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $120.75
- Potential payout
- $162.08
- Potential profit
- $41.33
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $111.31
- Potential payout
- $140.99
- Potential profit
- $29.68
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$17.67
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $128.1
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Manuel Neuer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $118.66
- Potential payout
- $127.32
- Potential profit
- $8.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $91.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
N
No position
Will Senegal finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $78.85
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$10.62
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$42.1
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $67.88
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.65
N
No position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $58.68
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.04
N
No position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $36.72
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $28.28
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $50.47
- Potential payout
- $57.68
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will Germany be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $44.82
- Potential payout
- $50.08
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $34.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $41.8
- Potential payout
- $47.5
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $24.03
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $16.97
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$10.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.01
N
No position
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.6
N
No position
Will Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
N
No position
Will Qatar be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Morocco finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 9.99 shares
- Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.7% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 81% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 80% 17.5 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over 84% 10 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under 78% 5 shares
- Germany to win the second half?Yes 46% 7.42 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 56% 10 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 82% 10 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 85% 10 shares