Polymarket Trader

DeliberateLogic

0xad26048c395f6b59856550d883142f74419a589c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.67K
Realized PnL: $49.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.47K
Potential profit: $64.47K
User PnL: -$9.36K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44K
Potential profit: $44K
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $17.59K
Potential profit: $13.64K
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$3.05K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$599.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.43K
Potential profit: $7.43K
User PnL: -$885.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$1.17K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$437.83

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$484.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$464.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$360

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$475.6

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$445

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$315

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$409.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57.3%
Current value: $715.66
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $534.4
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $521.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$630

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$302.25

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$337.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.81

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.99

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Yes 26% 115.38 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 98.3% 82.28 shares
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Yes 30% 200 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 43.7% 82.29 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 4,000 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 385.04 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 59.7% 80.33 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 49.5% 173.74 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 43.5% 68.97 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61.7% 45.34 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 58.8% 127.54 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 10.5% 190.48 shares