Polymarket Trader

LR1

0xad287cbd7db82d684a5066515c7ee624df111601

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $56.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Proposition 50 position

Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.19K
Potential profit: $42.19K
User PnL: -$5.44K

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.08K
Potential profit: $25.08K
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.63K
Potential profit: $16.63K
User PnL: -$875.45

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $8.67K
User PnL: -$223.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.73K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930.41

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.97

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 16% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.1% 1,200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 1,200 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 59% 60 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?

Yes 10% 150 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Yes 96.1% 399.38 shares
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 79.6% 100 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 99.9% 800 shares
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 79.9% 400 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 69% 131.5 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 68% 42.09 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 66% 600 shares