Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $35.73
- Potential profit
- $34.16
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Polymarket Trader
Mel118
0xad29fc57a89381404a3b45bf529a2ed5210460e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.57
- Realized PnL
- -$1.57
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.8% 98 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 68% 68 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 68% 68 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 99 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 99 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 3 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 103 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 96 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 10 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 55 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 27% 56 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 26% 56 shares