Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.56
Polymarket Trader
0xAD346347022607d20e5032308823eEb5800cED1D-1773632140491
0xad346347022607d20e5032308823eeb5800ced1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.48
- Realized PnL
- $2.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $3.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 65.8% 3.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.59 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 63% 2.06 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 35% 5.14 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 31% 5.16 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes 33% 3.94 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 2.5 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 4.39 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.6% 5.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 91% 1.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 2.39 shares