MeteoMan

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $166.66
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.85
Potential profit: $122.85
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.21
Potential profit: $95.21
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.42
Potential profit: $71.42
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $48.44
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.54
Potential profit: $55.54
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $44.84
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $4.16
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $43.8
Potential payout: $46.85
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $41.81
Potential payout: $43.85
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.88
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$33.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$30.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$26.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $27.54
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$25.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $26.66
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $26.82
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.85
Potential profit: $22.85
User PnL: -$20.43

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $22.39
User PnL: -$20.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $20.66
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $21.28
Potential payout: $21.8
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $231.76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.24

No position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.46

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.87

Yes position

Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.49

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.68

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.09

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.77

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET