Polymarket Trader

apollonn

0xad44ff393aae8cd2a8e0e9712d22fb6250569d5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.75
Realized PnL: $712.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$6

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.97
Potential profit: $349.97
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.99
Potential profit: $259.99
User PnL: -$72.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.99
Potential profit: $229.99
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$102.45

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $212.5
Potential profit: $199.75
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$29.75

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$34.35

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30.27

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$41.1

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.72
Potential profit: $144.72
User PnL: -$34.34

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.97
Potential profit: $131.97
User PnL: -$12.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$60.5

Yes position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$51.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$23

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30.5

No position

Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$60.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

Yes position

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.73

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.71

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.18

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.65

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?

No 77% 25 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?

Yes 79% 50 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

No 65% 13.65 shares
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

No 91.6% 22 shares
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

No 90.7% 20 shares
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

No 90% 10.02 shares
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

No 94.3% 10 shares