Polymarket Trader

AJSV

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $26.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $23.12
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$9.58

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $81.75
Potential payout: $654.02
Potential profit: $572.27
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$15.47

Yes position

Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $20.84
Potential payout: $534.28
Potential profit: $513.44
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$55.54

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $23.86
Potential payout: $513.07
Potential profit: $489.21
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$129.97

Yes position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $114.84
Potential payout: $499.32
Potential profit: $384.48
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $69.9

Yes position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $494.47
Potential profit: $491.01
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$8.53

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $24.8
Potential payout: $455.1
Potential profit: $430.29
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $455
Potential profit: $450.91
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $446.13
Potential profit: $437.65
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$3.34

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $373.76
Potential payout: $424.73
Potential profit: $50.97
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $71.96

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $407.34
Potential profit: $405.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$17.22

Yes position

Martin Ødegaard: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $397.2
Potential profit: $394.82
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Lahesio Bonfim win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.36
Potential payout: $381.95
Potential profit: $372.59
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $373.17
Potential profit: $370.37
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$21.59

Yes position

Next Token Sale on Coinbase by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $111.06
Potential payout: $364.12
Potential profit: $253.07
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $89.21

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $363.34
Potential profit: $361.52
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $360.72
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$112.9

Yes position

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $133.88
Potential payout: $357
Potential profit: $223.13
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $63.47

Yes position

Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $37.45
Potential payout: $356.7
Potential profit: $319.25
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $15.42

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $348.43
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $34.81
Potential payout: $348.1
Potential profit: $313.29
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $14.18

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $318.51
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $13.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $987.68

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $971.48

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $933.57

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $927.97

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $916.79

Yes position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $905.78

No position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $862.54

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $860.99

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $856.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $843.37

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $843.32

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $830.98

No position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $829.31

Yes position

Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $828.49

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $825.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Alexander Prass: 4+ shots

Yes 6% 21.93 shares
Alexander Prass: 4+ shots

Yes 6% 23.71 shares
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 33.14 shares
Will Albania win Junior Eurovision 2026?

Yes 14% 24.52 shares
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 10 shares
Lee vs. Naklo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Over 1% 50 shares
Set 1 Winner: Lee vs Naklo

Lee 1% 50 shares
Lee vs. Naklo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Over 1% 50 shares
Will Roar Gaming Qualify to The International 2026

Yes 4% 20 shares
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1% 32.01 shares
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

Under 1% 55 shares
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

Yes 2% 50 shares