N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $190.83
- Potential profit
- $185.11
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$164.11
Polymarket Trader
rghdbdfbfdbhfd
0xad541520f1823e2ccbe44f015b09016b4caa3e4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.72
- Realized PnL
- $41.24
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 89% 190.83 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 94% 106.39 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 95% 153.45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 98.4% 24.76 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.8% 173 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 90% 137.8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?No 99.9% 124.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 111.84 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 90.6% 118.96 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.1% 118.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 65.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 42.04 shares