Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $51.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Polymarket Trader
sfgfdgg
0xad5961f037f3da6a359e8f2ebde344649a4d3157
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.24
- Realized PnL
- $57.05
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $53.34
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.5% 98.78 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.5% 88.52 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.5% 44.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 30.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.9% 6.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 90.5% 6.22 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.1% 88.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 30.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 98.3% 30.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.7% 57.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 96% 61.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 98.2% 58.65 shares