odb1

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $12.35
Potential payout: $357.95
Potential profit: $345.6
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $16.31
Potential payout: $120.8
Potential profit: $104.49
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.15
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $85.8
Potential profit: $81.98
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$6.06

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.99
Potential payout: $63.9
Potential profit: $55.91
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $62.83
Potential profit: $62.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $60.23
Potential profit: $56.77
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $44.75
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $33.95

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $39.93
Potential profit: $36.8
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $36.63
Potential profit: $36.2
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$15.28

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $28.69
Potential profit: $24.31
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $24.81
Potential profit: $24.17
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $12.96
Potential payout: $16.1
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $15.27
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $14.42
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $14.22
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $14.21
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $13.65
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1

No position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.17

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.29

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.96

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.95

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.34

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.98

Team Nemesis position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.84

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.54

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

Mitch Raposo position

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.64

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.14

Over position

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

Heroic position

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.02

South America Rejects position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Gen.G Global Academy position

LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 12?