Polymarket Trader

Splunksy-Hive

0xad5b037d10533e35ddc8ff2c00c864282adffadd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $284.77
Realized PnL: $496.87
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $569.13
Potential profit: $563.15
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$8.76

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $226.53
Potential payout: $408.16
Potential profit: $181.63
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $26.53

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $52.27
Potential payout: $64.93
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.42

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.76

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Toby Samuel position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.86

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Multiplier: 14.18x
User PnL: -$11.11

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 99% 2.02 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5

Over 68% 25.09 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5

Over 68% 73.52 shares
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 2.9% 100 shares
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 2.8% 311.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Yes 0.1% 154.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on June 23?

Yes 0.1% 375.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?

Yes 99.6% 119.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 49% 408.16 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 64.93 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 88% 0.14 shares