Polymarket Trader

anonum

0xad5cbd5c209f13af8cd4550f03da4e8b2551b927

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.28
Realized PnL: $14.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $35.21
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.51
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $7.93
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $6.57
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.72
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.61
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 70.9%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 93% 2.94 shares
Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?

No 95% 5.16 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 67.9% 7.35 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 79% 7.34 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 92% 5.37 shares
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Yes 85% 1.34 shares
Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 5%?

No 95% 5.18 shares
Will Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 99.3% 5.03 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 79% 0.94 shares
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 98.2% 1.3 shares
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

Yes 50% 6.48 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 93% 5.55 shares