No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $202.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $97.5
Polymarket Trader
N-9-6
0xad6eab8bca4b882d77c443b1d0ee5907a42370d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $686.96
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$135.72
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $562.4
- Potential payout
- $608
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $21.28
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.22
- Potential profit
- $255.22
- User PnL
- -$107
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $113
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.02
- Potential profit
- $179.02
- User PnL
- -$25.06
Yes position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $114.29
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.3
- Potential profit
- $62.3
- User PnL
- -$38
No position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $53.19
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.77
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.36
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.53
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$12.21
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 89% 608 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 52% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No 80% 1,500 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 65% 1,847.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 84% 1,429.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 73% 567.49 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.5% 202 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.4% 920 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 62% 323.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 0.2% 4,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.3% 3,132.03 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 92.1% 46.62 shares